Alosimus marginicollis (Haag-Rutenberg, 1880)

3.3. Potentially suitable areas of A. marginicollis under different future climate change scenarios

Future projections were assessed under two scenarios: SSP2-4.5 (relatively optimistic) and SSP5-8.5 (the most pessimistic). Compared to suitable habitats in the current projection, both scenarios predict a significant and gradual decrease in suitable habitats each year ( Figures 4 View Figure 4 and 5 View Figure 5 ). According to the relatively optimistic future scenario (SSP2-4.5), this species is projected to lose most of its suitable habitats in Central Anatolia, to preserve suitable habitats in intensive agricultural areas centred on Uşak Province and on the slopes of some mountains in Western Anatolia (e.g., Murat Mountain in Western Anatolia), and to gain new suitable habitats on the slopes of high altitude mountains in the Marmara and Western Black Sea regions (along the line of Bursa, Bilecik, Bolu, and Karabük provinces) (2081–2100 period). According to the most pessimistic scenario (SSP5-8.5), the species is predicted to lose most (94.1%) of its suitable habitat (2081–2100 period) ( Table 3) .